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Tag Archive for pre-crime

Not today, but tomorrow.

 

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-08/jpmorgan-algorithm-knows-you-re-a-rogue-employee-before-you-do

 

Pre-crime is coming.  Actually, pre-crime has been here for half-a century, but nobody’s really noticed yet (and, truth be told, a great many people will still never notice until it bites them in the *ss).

Take credit scores, as an example.  Your score is based on your history.  They look at your reliability, your f*ckups, your open credit lines, your possible debt (if you go all hog-wild and blow your remaining open balance on thousand dollar whiskey and strippers, for example).  They analyse your past behavior to determine your future behavior.  Because people tend to fall into a rut.  We fall into a pattern.

The JP Morgan algorithm is doing much the same thing.  It’s looking, not for a single f*ckup, but for a pattern of behavior (which is funny, since “Past performance is not a guarantee or indicator of future performance.” is typed neatly at the bottom of every brokerage account statement for every brokerage firm *everywhere*).  Those patterns of behavior used to be the purview of the managers, the Branch Admins who’s job it was to keep an eye on all the transactions that went in and out.  Once upon a time, it was a big job.  Once the internet became a THING it became an almost impossible job.

And for those among you, who is not going to feel better knowing that their banker or broker has another layer of control on them to make sure they don’t blow all your savings on a trip to Tahiti?

And how many of you, who held your hand up just now, are going to complain when those same algorithms are applied to YOUR jobs?  In retail, in concessions, in any company where you have a lot of employees and a lot of opportunities, this thing is going to find a home.

Big brother has always been there….

 

I was staring at the security camera in the parking lot the other day.  Like you do.  They’re nowhere near as interesting as they make them out to be in TV/Books/Videogames.  In fact, the only reason I noticed it is because I was on a phone call and I was *looking* for something boring to point my eyeballs at while I focused on the conversation at hand.

When I was little we used to play “spot the camera” at the big marketplace.  They were new, and the images were displayed prominently for anyone to see while they were checking out, so we used to go mug for the camera in the very corners of the store.

Outside of the store, there was always an adult with their eyes on us.  This was back when you could still call out other peoples children for being jerks, so it seemed that everybody old enough to drive was poised to deliver a loudly vocalized opinion on what I was doing at any given moment (here’s a hint, I’m really rather boring, so I never have been able to figure out why people complain so much).

In Church on the weekends, we were solemnly advised that God was ALWAYS watching.  ALWAYS. Same thing with Santa, but Santa could at least be bribed and had a memory of about 6 weeks.

So it occurs to me that, maybe the reason that there is no hue and cry about mass surveillance, that nobody is kicking up a fuss (at least not to levels expected) about being watched on cameras 24/7, or the NSA reading our emails, or that the idea of pre-crime seems to be utterly banal.  There’s a perfectly good reason for that.  It’s because we have always been watched.  By a parent, but other parents, by your deity of choice, by Santa, by your teachers, by your boss. We have been raised with the societal understanding that no matter what we do, somebody is always watching.  So now that somebody ACTUALLY is, it’s an utter non-event.

Below is the link that ran me off into this train of thought.

MOBILE DATA AS PRE-CRIME INDICATOR